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CAR
6-3
EDM
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.03
EDM xG0.63
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
EDM Win%0.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve56.1%
EDM Deserve43.9%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.2%Possession43.8%
32Shots on Goal16
43.6%Faceoff Win %56.4%
15Hits27
19Blocked Shots10
8Takeaways2
19Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes6



















