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MTL
5-6
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG1.27
ANA xG1.23
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.0
ANA Win%100.0
9 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve50.2%
ANA Deserve49.8%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
52.2%Possession47.8%
33Shots on Goal38
55.0%Faceoff Win %45.0%
21Hits17
15Blocked Shots15
3Takeaways4
17Giveaways15
4Penalty Minutes8























