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MIN
4-2
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MIN xG0.86
VGK xG1.09
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MIN Win%99.6
VGK Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MIN Deserve52.6%
VGK Deserve47.4%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.8%Possession56.2%
24Shots on Goal31
30.8%Faceoff Win %69.2%
22Hits14
18Blocked Shots12
4Takeaways3
10Giveaways13
26Penalty Minutes16



















