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STL
3-2
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.54
SJS xG0.95
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%100.0
SJS Win%0.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve50.9%
SJS Deserve49.1%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.5%Possession59.5%
14Shots on Goal25
38.6%Faceoff Win %61.4%
19Hits25
10Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways5
17Giveaways23
14Penalty Minutes14



















