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NYR
3-6
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.73
NJD xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%0.4
NJD Win%99.6
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve46.3%
NJD Deserve53.7%
NJD Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
40.2%Possession59.8%
20Shots on Goal35
54.8%Faceoff Win %45.2%
23Hits9
13Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways2
22Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes10





















