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NSH
2-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NSH xG1.23
BUF xG0.67
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NSH Win%7.0
BUF Win%93.0
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NSH Deserve53.4%
BUF Deserve46.6%
NSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
45.2%Possession54.8%
25Shots on Goal24
61.3%Faceoff Win %38.7%
15Hits20
20Blocked Shots12
8Takeaways5
15Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes8




















