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PHI
4-3
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG0.67
PIT xG1.31
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%100.0
PIT Win%0.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve45.8%
PIT Deserve54.2%
PIT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.6%Possession51.4%
18Shots on Goal26
55.1%Faceoff Win %44.9%
26Hits19
7Blocked Shots18
4Takeaways6
12Giveaways14
17Penalty Minutes9




















