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TBL
5-2
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.13
TOR xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%99.6
TOR Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve56.6%
TOR Deserve43.4%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.4%Possession45.6%
33Shots on Goal29
41.5%Faceoff Win %58.5%
26Hits22
12Blocked Shots12
5Takeaways4
12Giveaways15
11Penalty Minutes13



















