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CAR
4-5
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.82
CGY xG0.78
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%1.4
CGY Win%98.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve44.9%
CGY Deserve55.1%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
57.8%Possession42.2%
29Shots on Goal25
52.5%Faceoff Win %47.5%
20Hits26
10Blocked Shots12
7Takeaways6
22Giveaways13
8Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 19:48Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: K. Miller, S. Jarvis
wrist
3P • 17:42Goal
J. Farabee
Assists: M. Frost
backhand
3P • 05:43Goal
A. Nikishin
Assists: S. Aho, S. Jarvis
slap
3P • 04:41Goal
S. Walker
Assists: T. Hall, S. Aho
wrist
3P • 02:24Goal
B. Coleman
Assists: J. Farabee
wrist
2P • 07:06Goal
M. Frost
Assists: Z. Parekh, R. Strome
wrist
2P • 04:11Goal
J. Farabee
Assists: M. Frost, B. Coleman
wrist
2P • 00:19Goal
R. Strome
Assists: O. Määttä, M. Pospisil
wrist
1P • 00:44Goal
S. Jarvis
Assists: A. Svechnikov, S. Aho
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:30 | |
 S. AhoC | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:20 | |
 L. StankovenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | |
S. JarvisC | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19:29 | |
 N. EhlersL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:40 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | |
A. SvechnikovR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:01 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12:28 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10:33 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:56 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10:31 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21:53 | |
 M. ReillyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 09:30 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 23:51 | |
A. NikishinD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:45 | |
S. WalkerD | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23:22 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:24 |