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TBL
7-8
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG1.12
BUF xG1.06
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%0.0
BUF Win%100.0
15 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve48.1%
BUF Deserve51.9%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
42.7%Possession57.3%
29Shots on Goal42
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
40Hits27
18Blocked Shots8
2Takeaways5
11Giveaways17
57Penalty Minutes45






















