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STL
4-0
ANA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG1.34
ANA xG0.87
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%99.6
ANA Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve51.2%
ANA Deserve48.8%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.3%Possession45.7%
35Shots on Goal22
42.3%Faceoff Win %57.7%
8Hits20
16Blocked Shots16
2Takeaways5
16Giveaways18
27Penalty Minutes14

















