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NYR
6-2
PHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.77
PHI xG0.62
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%99.6
PHI Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve56.3%
PHI Deserve43.7%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.3%Possession58.7%
27Shots on Goal34
45.5%Faceoff Win %54.5%
17Hits32
13Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways3
12Giveaways10
6Penalty Minutes8



















