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CGY
3-7
WSH
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG1.03
WSH xG1.11
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
WSH Win%99.6
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve42.5%
WSH Deserve57.5%
WSH Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.4%Possession53.6%
26Shots on Goal29
43.4%Faceoff Win %56.6%
15Hits20
23Blocked Shots13
5Takeaways7
16Giveaways19
6Penalty Minutes0























