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SJS
3-6
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
SJS xG0.83
BUF xG0.92
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
SJS Win%0.4
BUF Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
SJS Deserve45.2%
BUF Deserve54.8%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
20Shots on Goal26
49.1%Faceoff Win %50.9%
23Hits21
16Blocked Shots16
4Takeaways7
17Giveaways14
24Penalty Minutes18
Live Feed
3P • 17:14Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: R. McLeod
wrist
3P • 06:56Goal
A. Wennberg
Assists: T. Toffoli
backhand
3P • 00:42Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: R. McLeod, R. Dahlin
snap
2P • 19:29Goal
K. Sherwood
Assists: M. Ferraro, A. Wennberg
snap
2P • 08:51Goal
J. Zucker
Assists: J. Quinn, O. Power
backhand
2P • 04:59Goal
B. Malenstyn
Assists: P. Krebs, R. Dahlin
wrist
1P • 12:54Goal
M. Celebrini
Assists: W. Smith
wrist
1P • 05:39Goal
A. Tuch
Assists: R. Dahlin, M. Samuelsson
tip-in
1P • 04:12Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: J. Zucker, R. McLeod
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 W. SmithC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:49 | |
A. WennbergC | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17:12 | |
 B. GoodrowC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 09:03 | |
K. SherwoodL | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16:29 | |
 C. GrafR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:41 | |
 Z. OstapchukC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 09:01 | |
M. CelebriniC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24:25 | |
 W. EklundL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:29 | |
 T. ToffoliC | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15:38 | |
 M. MisaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14:06 | |
 A. GaudetteR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | |
 P. KurashevC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:29 | |
 J. KlingbergD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | |
 V. DesharnaisD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17:26 | |
 S. DickinsonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:31 | |
 D. OrlovD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:09 | |
 M. FerraroD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | |
 S. MukhamadullinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:59 |