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TOR
1-3
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.76
MTL xG1.20
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
MTL Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve44.8%
MTL Deserve55.2%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
38.8%Possession61.2%
18Shots on Goal33
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
23Hits20
19Blocked Shots16
3Takeaways8
12Giveaways11
11Penalty Minutes11
Live Feed
3P • 19:32Goal
J. Evans
Assists: M. Matheson
wrist
2P • 14:33Goal
W. Nylander
Assists: E. Cowan
snap
1P • 14:41Goal
P. Danault
Assists: K. Guhle, L. Hutson
snap
1P • 04:46Goal
O. Kapanen
Assists: A. Newhook, I. Demidov
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. DomiC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | |
 S. LorentzC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | |
 M. KniesL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 | |
 J. QuillanC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 08:25 | |
 B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14:13 | |
 A. MatthewsC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22:28 | |
 E. CowanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:21 | |
 M. MaccelliL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:46 | |
 D. JoshuaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 08:56 | |
W. NylanderR | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20:03 | |
 N. RobertsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | |
 J. TavaresC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:14 | |
 S. BenoitD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:28 | |
 J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:03 | |
 B. CarloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19:00 | |
 T. StecherD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:21 | |
 M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 | |
 O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24:02 |