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CBJ
5-2
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CBJ xG0.90
TBL xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CBJ Win%99.6
TBL Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CBJ Deserve52.8%
TBL Deserve47.2%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
62.6%Possession37.4%
32Shots on Goal18
43.6%Faceoff Win %56.4%
21Hits29
8Blocked Shots18
9Takeaways2
17Giveaways11
13Penalty Minutes15



















