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CGY
0-4
NYR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.67
NYR xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
NYR Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve40.3%
NYR Deserve59.7%
NYR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.2%Possession56.8%
21Shots on Goal29
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
25Hits23
18Blocked Shots11
4Takeaways6
21Giveaways14
6Penalty Minutes4



















