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PIT
4-5
CAR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG1.43
CAR xG1.79
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.0
CAR Win%100.0
9 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve45.6%
CAR Deserve54.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
47.5%Possession52.5%
30Shots on Goal47
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
16Hits28
15Blocked Shots21
3Takeaways7
20Giveaways16
12Penalty Minutes12























