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VGK
1-2
DAL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
VGK xG0.82
DAL xG0.73
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
VGK Win%21.2
DAL Win%78.8
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
VGK Deserve46.9%
DAL Deserve53.1%
DAL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.0%Possession50.0%
27Shots on Goal16
44.4%Faceoff Win %55.6%
32Hits25
18Blocked Shots10
2Takeaways2
14Giveaways11
10Penalty Minutes6



















