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MTL
3-2
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.63
OTT xG0.88
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%85.2
OTT Win%14.8
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve42.2%
OTT Deserve57.8%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
23Shots on Goal34
49.1%Faceoff Win %50.9%
31Hits33
11Blocked Shots25
5Takeaways6
24Giveaways9
8Penalty Minutes6


















