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WSH
2-1
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
WSH xG0.91
BUF xG1.05
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
WSH Win%97.1
BUF Win%2.9
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
WSH Deserve48.5%
BUF Deserve51.5%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.3%Possession51.7%
22Shots on Goal30
40.0%Faceoff Win %60.0%
22Hits24
11Blocked Shots17
9Takeaways5
17Giveaways13
4Penalty Minutes4


















