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ANA
4-6
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
ANA xG1.20
TOR xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
ANA Win%0.0
TOR Win%100.0
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
ANA Deserve50.5%
TOR Deserve49.5%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.0%Possession45.0%
40Shots on Goal28
43.4%Faceoff Win %56.6%
15Hits34
14Blocked Shots9
7Takeaways6
9Giveaways21
41Penalty Minutes46























