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CGY
5-4
NJD
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.64
NJD xG1.44
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%98.7
NJD Win%1.3
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve44.6%
NJD Deserve55.4%
NJD Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.7%Possession53.3%
29Shots on Goal32
43.6%Faceoff Win %56.4%
22Hits14
9Blocked Shots23
5Takeaways4
18Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes0





















