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PIT
2-6
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG1.00
VGK xG0.64
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%0.4
VGK Win%99.6
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve47.4%
VGK Deserve52.6%
VGK Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.4%Possession48.6%
26Shots on Goal17
31.1%Faceoff Win %68.9%
12Hits27
22Blocked Shots14
6Takeaways2
17Giveaways23
10Penalty Minutes12






















