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COL
1-3
WPG
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.26
WPG xG0.40
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%0.4
WPG Win%99.6
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve54.6%
WPG Deserve45.4%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.9%Possession49.1%
29Shots on Goal19
57.4%Faceoff Win %42.6%
17Hits20
27Blocked Shots7
3Takeaways8
13Giveaways16
2Penalty Minutes4




















