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NYR
4-2
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYR xG0.66
MIN xG1.32
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYR Win%99.6
MIN Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYR Deserve43.5%
MIN Deserve56.5%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
41.1%Possession58.9%
18Shots on Goal48
48.3%Faceoff Win %51.7%
13Hits24
11Blocked Shots23
2Takeaways2
16Giveaways9
18Penalty Minutes10



















