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TOR
2-3
BUF
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.56
BUF xG1.31
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.0
BUF Win%100.0
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve41.6%
BUF Deserve58.4%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
43.5%Possession56.5%
19Shots on Goal35
52.9%Faceoff Win %47.1%
35Hits21
10Blocked Shots24
6Takeaways5
22Giveaways15
19Penalty Minutes15
Live Feed
5P • 00:00Goal
A. Tuch
Unassisted
wrist
5P • 00:00Goal
J. Quinn
Unassisted
wrist
2P • 11:21Goal
J. Quinn
Assists: N. Ostlund, R. McLeod
wrist
2P • 00:53Goal
M. Domi
Assists: W. Nylander, M. Knies
wrist
1P • 06:09Goal
D. Joshua
Assists: N. Robertson
snap
1P • 02:01Goal
O. Power
Assists: Z. Benson, S. Carrick
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. DomiC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16:47 | |
 C. JarnkrokC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | |
 M. KniesL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:09 | |
 J. QuillanC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | |
 B. GroulxC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19:08 | |
 E. CowanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:07 | |
 M. PezzettaL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 06:29 | |
 M. MaccelliL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19:25 | |
D. JoshuaC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:58 | |
 W. NylanderR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21:18 | |
 N. RobertsonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14:35 | |
 J. TavaresC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:50 | |
 S. BenoitD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17:05 | |
 J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:19 | |
 B. CarloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:18 | |
 M. RiellyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:33 | |
 P. MyersD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:53 | |
 O. Ekman-LarssonD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:59 |