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SJS
4-2
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
SJS xG0.91
MTL xG1.16
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
SJS Win%99.6
MTL Win%0.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
SJS Deserve48.4%
MTL Deserve51.6%
MTL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
50.4%Possession49.6%
22Shots on Goal27
39.3%Faceoff Win %60.7%
23Hits22
10Blocked Shots15
5Takeaways4
23Giveaways21
6Penalty Minutes2



















