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CAR
4-2
TBL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.98
TBL xG1.01
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
TBL Win%0.4
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve55.6%
TBL Deserve44.4%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
60.0%Possession40.0%
35Shots on Goal19
53.7%Faceoff Win %46.3%
27Hits26
15Blocked Shots11
9Takeaways4
13Giveaways14
13Penalty Minutes11
Live Feed
3P • 18:29Goal
L. Stankoven
Assists: T. Hall
snap
3P • 09:18Goal
J. Martinook
Assists: N. Ehlers, M. Reilly
wrist
2P • 15:31Goal
C. D'Astous
Assists: B. Point, G. Goncalves
tip-in
2P • 14:10Goal
Y. Gourde
Assists: V. Hedman, P. Holmberg
snap
1P • 17:28Goal
S. Aho
Assists: A. Svechnikov, K. Miller
wrist
1P • 00:36Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: S. Aho, S. Walker
snap
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13:35 | |
S. AhoC | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20:28 | |
L. StankovenC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:51 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:14 | |
 N. EhlersL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:19 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 09:13 | |
A. SvechnikovR | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | |
J. MartinookL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:45 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:13 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17:56 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:17 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 09:53 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | |
 M. ReillyD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24:05 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:03 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:16 |