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PIT
4-3
UTA
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PIT xG0.58
UTA xG1.21
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PIT Win%86.5
UTA Win%13.5
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PIT Deserve45.3%
UTA Deserve54.7%
UTA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
49.1%Possession50.9%
23Shots on Goal29
44.1%Faceoff Win %55.9%
21Hits31
9Blocked Shots21
1Takeaways7
19Giveaways12
6Penalty Minutes12



















