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SJS
4-7
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
SJS xG0.82
OTT xG1.17
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
SJS Win%0.4
OTT Win%99.6
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
SJS Deserve39.9%
OTT Deserve60.1%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.6%Possession55.4%
23Shots on Goal25
40.7%Faceoff Win %59.3%
23Hits30
14Blocked Shots19
5Takeaways4
20Giveaways11
6Penalty Minutes4























