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ANA
4-3
MTL
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
ANA xG0.94
MTL xG0.95
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
ANA Win%95.7
MTL Win%4.3
8 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
ANA Deserve52.0%
MTL Deserve48.0%
ANA Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.4%Possession53.6%
28Shots on Goal30
47.4%Faceoff Win %52.6%
17Hits14
22Blocked Shots17
3Takeaways7
8Giveaways19
10Penalty Minutes4




















