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TOR
4-2
MIN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.63
MIN xG1.29
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%99.6
MIN Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve44.8%
MIN Deserve55.2%
MIN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.6%Possession51.4%
26Shots on Goal38
52.7%Faceoff Win %47.3%
14Hits22
13Blocked Shots32
4Takeaways6
23Giveaways16
8Penalty Minutes6
Live Feed
3P • 19:23Goal
M. Knies
Unassisted
wrist
3P • 05:14Goal
V. Tarasenko
Assists: R. Hartman, M. Zuccarello
wrist
3P • 04:51Goal
V. Tarasenko
Assists: M. Zuccarello, R. Hartman
snap
2P • 08:18Goal
B. Groulx
Unassisted
wrist
2P • 02:19Goal
B. Groulx
Assists: T. Stecher, N. Robertson
deflected
2P • 01:07Goal
M. Rielly
Assists: M. Maccelli, J. Tavares
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 M. DomiC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | |
 S. LorentzC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:54 | |
 C. JarnkrokC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:22 | |
M. KniesL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20:47 | |
 J. QuillanC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 08:21 | |
B. GroulxC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:03 | |
 E. CowanR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 | |
 M. MaccelliL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:19 | |
 D. JoshuaC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11:51 | |
 W. NylanderR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:42 | |
 N. RobertsonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:41 | |
 J. TavaresC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19:49 | |
 S. BenoitD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | |
 J. McCabeD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26:49 | |
 B. CarloD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25:07 | |
 T. StecherD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17:13 | |
M. RiellyD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17:38 | |
 P. MyersD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17:28 |