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CGY
2-5
DET
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CGY xG0.74
DET xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CGY Win%0.4
DET Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CGY Deserve42.9%
DET Deserve57.1%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.5%Possession48.5%
27Shots on Goal25
59.6%Faceoff Win %40.4%
20Hits26
13Blocked Shots14
4Takeaways6
15Giveaways13
17Penalty Minutes13





















