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NYI
3-1
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
NYI xG1.26
TOR xG0.72
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
NYI Win%99.6
TOR Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
NYI Deserve59.3%
TOR Deserve40.7%
NYI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.7%Possession48.3%
34Shots on Goal27
51.5%Faceoff Win %48.5%
9Hits20
14Blocked Shots8
5Takeaways1
11Giveaways13
11Penalty Minutes17


















