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CAR
1-5
CBJ
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG0.98
CBJ xG0.83
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%0.4
CBJ Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve42.5%
CBJ Deserve57.5%
CBJ Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.8%Possession53.2%
29Shots on Goal30
34.9%Faceoff Win %65.1%
29Hits11
24Blocked Shots19
3Takeaways4
18Giveaways17
17Penalty Minutes9
Live Feed
3P • 07:38Goal
M. Olivier
Assists: C. Coyle, C. Sillinger
wrist
2P • 18:03Goal
D. Mateychuk
Assists: S. Monahan
snap
2P • 17:29Goal
D. Heinen
Assists: C. Coyle, C. Sillinger
wrist
2P • 14:05Goal
A. Svechnikov
Assists: N. Ehlers, A. Nikishin
backhand
1P • 19:05Goal
C. Coyle
Assists: A. Fantilli, Z. Werenski
wrist
1P • 05:25Goal
M. Marchment
Assists: C. Coyle, A. Fantilli
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14:59 | |
 S. AhoC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:02 | |
 L. StankovenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:29 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16:39 | |
 N. EhlersL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14:46 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13:34 | |
A. SvechnikovR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14:23 | |
 N. DeslauriersL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:31 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13:24 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 14:41 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10:50 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15:01 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18:44 | |
 M. ReillyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:09 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23:25 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:18 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20:51 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 19:56 |