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FLA
2-5
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG1.20
VAN xG0.77
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
VAN Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve42.3%
VAN Deserve57.7%
VAN Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
58.7%Possession41.3%
23Shots on Goal22
41.2%Faceoff Win %58.8%
27Hits20
12Blocked Shots11
5Takeaways7
20Giveaways14
28Penalty Minutes24





















