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BUF
2-0
VGK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.93
VGK xG0.93
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
VGK Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve54.3%
VGK Deserve45.7%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.9%Possession53.1%
25Shots on Goal29
49.2%Faceoff Win %50.8%
19Hits28
12Blocked Shots15
6Takeaways2
12Giveaways19
8Penalty Minutes6

















