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STL
1-2
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.79
CGY xG0.80
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%0.0
CGY Win%100.0
6 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve44.3%
CGY Deserve55.7%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
48.2%Possession51.8%
28Shots on Goal33
50.9%Faceoff Win %49.1%
26Hits17
14Blocked Shots12
7Takeaways6
22Giveaways14
14Penalty Minutes10




















