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MTL
1-3
DET
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
MTL xG0.91
DET xG0.92
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
MTL Win%0.4
DET Win%99.6
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
MTL Deserve45.9%
DET Deserve54.1%
DET Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.2%Possession48.8%
33Shots on Goal28
55.4%Faceoff Win %44.6%
27Hits35
14Blocked Shots15
2Takeaways8
18Giveaways19
8Penalty Minutes8




















