Back
BUF
5-0
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.87
SJS xG0.63
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
SJS Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve61.0%
SJS Deserve39.0%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
44.6%Possession55.4%
16Shots on Goal23
50.0%Faceoff Win %50.0%
14Hits27
17Blocked Shots15
4Takeaways6
10Giveaways19
4Penalty Minutes4
Live Feed
3P • 16:54Goal
S. Carrick
Assists: L. Stanley, Z. Metsa
deflected
3P • 00:40Goal
T. Thompson
Assists: P. Krebs, A. Tuch
wrist
2P • 10:48Goal
R. Dahlin
Assists: J. Zucker, M. Samuelsson
wrist
2P • 09:41Goal
S. Carrick
Assists: R. Dahlin, Z. Benson
wrist
2P • 09:05Goal
N. Ostlund
Assists: J. Doan, L. Stanley
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Z. BensonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | |
 J. NorrisC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | |
S. CarrickC | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:27 | |
 J. ZuckerL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:08 | |
 P. KrebsC | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:17 | |
 J. QuinnR | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14:55 | |
 B. MalenstynL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:54 | |
 R. McLeodC | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 | |
T. ThompsonC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16:50 | |
N. OstlundC | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:06 | |
 A. TuchR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 | |
 J. DoanR | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 | |
 B. ByramD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24:07 | |
 M. SamuelssonD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:36 | |
 O. PowerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | |
R. DahlinD | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:15 | |
 L. StanleyD | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18:06 | |
 Z. MetsaD | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:48 |