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CAR
4-3
TOR
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.55
TOR xG0.46
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%100.0
TOR Win%0.0
5 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve60.0%
TOR Deserve40.0%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.2%Possession45.8%
36Shots on Goal26
48.1%Faceoff Win %51.9%
20Hits21
23Blocked Shots11
5Takeaways5
10Giveaways14
4Penalty Minutes10
Live Feed
4P • 00:41Goal
A. Nikishin
Assists: S. Jarvis, S. Aho
wrist
3P • 13:50Goal
W. Nylander
Assists: M. Maccelli
wrist
2P • 17:40Goal
K. Miller
Unassisted
backhand
2P • 13:47Goal
J. Tavares
Assists: C. Jarnkrok, J. McCabe
wrist
2P • 12:35Goal
E. Robinson
Unassisted
wrist
2P • 05:57Goal
J. Staal
Assists: S. Jarvis, S. Aho
tip-in
1P • 11:48Goal
D. Joshua
Assists: B. Groulx, M. Maccelli
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. StaalC | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18:03 | |
 S. AhoC | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:47 | |
 L. StankovenC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16:32 | |
 S. JarvisC | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:56 | |
 N. EhlersL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18:00 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 09:32 | |
 A. SvechnikovR | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 | |
E. RobinsonL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 08:25 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17:07 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17:39 | |
 M. JankowskiL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:40 | |
 J. ChatfieldD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:07 | |
 M. ReillyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 09:07 | |
K. MillerD | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:58 | |
A. NikishinD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:23 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 20:42 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:58 |