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COL
4-1
CHI
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
COL xG1.88
CHI xG0.68
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
COL Win%99.6
CHI Win%0.4
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
COL Deserve62.9%
CHI Deserve37.1%
COL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
55.8%Possession44.2%
49Shots on Goal20
59.2%Faceoff Win %40.8%
19Hits19
22Blocked Shots7
6Takeaways4
14Giveaways15
6Penalty Minutes10


















