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FLA
1-4
CGY
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
FLA xG0.77
CGY xG0.98
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
FLA Win%0.4
CGY Win%99.6
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
FLA Deserve43.1%
CGY Deserve56.9%
CGY Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
46.2%Possession53.8%
25Shots on Goal36
44.2%Faceoff Win %55.8%
27Hits18
11Blocked Shots9
4Takeaways6
11Giveaways18
25Penalty Minutes6





















