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BUF
4-1
LAK
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
BUF xG0.65
LAK xG0.81
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
BUF Win%99.6
LAK Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
BUF Deserve50.7%
LAK Deserve49.3%
BUF Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
53.6%Possession46.4%
34Shots on Goal27
34.5%Faceoff Win %65.5%
15Hits27
15Blocked Shots17
7Takeaways4
10Giveaways11
6Penalty Minutes2


















