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PHI
4-1
SJS
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
PHI xG1.30
SJS xG0.70
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
PHI Win%99.6
SJS Win%0.4
2 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
PHI Deserve56.9%
SJS Deserve43.1%
PHI Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
54.5%Possession45.5%
28Shots on Goal25
46.6%Faceoff Win %53.4%
23Hits19
12Blocked Shots18
6Takeaways4
11Giveaways14
18Penalty Minutes20


















