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TOR
2-5
OTT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TOR xG0.51
OTT xG1.18
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TOR Win%0.4
OTT Win%99.6
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TOR Deserve40.2%
OTT Deserve59.8%
OTT Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
24.5%Possession75.5%
14Shots on Goal44
44.1%Faceoff Win %55.9%
17Hits22
13Blocked Shots6
2Takeaways10
17Giveaways14
10Penalty Minutes8






















