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STL
3-1
VAN
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
STL xG0.86
VAN xG0.65
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
STL Win%99.6
VAN Win%0.4
3 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
STL Deserve55.4%
VAN Deserve44.6%
STL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
56.0%Possession44.0%
21Shots on Goal15
32.6%Faceoff Win %67.4%
18Hits26
18Blocked Shots15
6Takeaways1
13Giveaways14
4Penalty Minutes6


















