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TBL
5-2
EDM
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
TBL xG0.86
EDM xG0.74
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
TBL Win%99.6
EDM Win%0.4
4 Spikes
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
TBL Deserve54.3%
EDM Deserve45.7%
TBL Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
51.8%Possession48.2%
28Shots on Goal28
53.1%Faceoff Win %46.9%
11Hits28
17Blocked Shots14
5Takeaways2
19Giveaways18
18Penalty Minutes18



















