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CAR
5-1
PIT
Final
xG Story-Flow
Momentum Graph
CAR xG1.01
PIT xG1.03
Away
0
60
Predictive Model · Logistic Regression
Chance To Win
Logistic decay model · Score weight × time / xG merit · starts 50%
CAR Win%99.6
PIT Win%0.4
1 Spike
Merit Engine · Performance Percentiles
Deserve-To-Win
Advanced merit tracking: Shots, Blocked Shots, Hits, Giveaways/Takeaways, and Penalties weighted into a unified "Deserve %".
CAR Deserve58.7%
PIT Deserve41.3%
CAR Merit Lead
Positional Density
Shot Distribution
Goal
High Danger (≥ 8%)
Med Danger (3.5% - 8%)
Low Danger (< 3.5%)
Team Dominance
Matchup
59.5%Possession40.5%
26Shots on Goal19
48.6%Faceoff Win %51.4%
21Hits29
13Blocked Shots16
6Takeaways3
15Giveaways18
8Penalty Minutes14
Live Feed
3P • 18:56Goal
M. Jankowski
Assists: J. Blake, L. Stankoven
wrist
3P • 14:56Goal
E. Chinakhov
Assists: B. Rust, S. Crosby
snap
2P • 17:20Goal
S. Jarvis
Assists: N. Ehlers, A. Svechnikov
snap
2P • 09:15Goal
J. Chatfield
Assists: E. Robinson
slap
2P • 06:24Goal
N. Ehlers
Assists: S. Jarvis, A. Nikishin
slap
1P • 00:47Goal
S. Aho
Assists: S. Jarvis
wrist
| Player Profile | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | SOG | HITS | BLKS | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. StaalC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:25 | |
S. AhoC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19:43 | |
 L. StankovenC | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 | |
S. JarvisC | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18:03 | |
N. EhlersL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16:15 | |
 W. CarrierL | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:00 | |
 A. SvechnikovR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17:17 | |
 J. MartinookL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 | |
 E. RobinsonL | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 | |
 J. BlakeR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16:32 | |
 T. HallL | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:04 | |
M. JankowskiL | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:53 | |
J. ChatfieldD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19:36 | |
 M. ReillyD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:09 | |
 K. MillerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:36 | |
 A. NikishinD | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16:15 | |
 S. WalkerD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:50 | |
 J. SlavinD | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20:46 |